SE DESPERTARON LAS BOLSAS Y EL MERVAL RECUPERO 3,31%

 

a levantarse

 

La sangre no llegó al río y los mercados mundiales luego de fructíferas reuniones mejoraron respecto a los últimos días. En la Argentina, la evolución del dólar “blue” y del CCL provocaron una reacción de menor a mayor siendo el cierre lo mejor de la jornada. Se operó por 177,7 millones y el saldo fue de 44 alzas, 9 bajas y 8 papeles sin cambios. Lo mejor de la jornada fue para APBR, Tenaris, TGS, Aluar y Paty, en ese orden. Por el contrario, bajaron Cresud, Dycasa, CEPU, Rigolleau (cotizó ex dividendo) y Semino.

13.110 comentarios

  1. Santiago

    Estimados en las redes sociales se habla de un trimestral de Comercial del plata de casi 200 millones de pesos…esto lo ven posible? Son resultados extraordinarios? Le ve vuelo por arriba de 3,30 como para comprar para mediano y largo?

  2. fer

    Santiago, no es un resultado extraordinario, es lo que ha dejado el primer trimestre completo los nuevos pozos de Santa Cruz, es sencillo, ingresa a la pagina de la Secretaría de Energía y fijate la empresa CGC los números de Gas y Petroleo, Abril-Mayo-Junio, se multiplicaron por 30 y 100 veces lo que venía extrayendo.
    Empezó una nueva etapa en una nueva empresa.
    El pasado negro, definitivamente, va quedando atrás.

    Abrazo

  3. Santiago

    Estimado fer, muchas gracias! ahí revise los números en la web de la secretaria de energía y de Comercial del Plata…es interesante el incremento de productivida en la empresa Compañía General de Combustibles, estará bien eso?…ni siquiera sabia que COME tenía el 30 de esta petrolera, grata sorpresa…
    No sigo el mercado día a día, soy un ahorrista que compra papeles para su jubilación, en mi cartera de RV tengo Petrolera Pampa, Central Puerto,San Miguel, Galicia, macro y Siderar…tengo ganas de pasar algo a come, pero me da miedo pagar 3,30 para el mediano o largo plazo, vos le ves cuerda?

    • Alberto

      Estimado Santiago esa información es acertada, tal vez ud. se quedó con la visión de la antigua COME de soldati que esa es una empresa que ya no existe.
      Paso a informarlo, en el año 2012 renació una nueva COME o Sociedad Comercial del Plata o como ud. prefiera llamarla. Durante los últimos años el holding se dedico a cancelar sus pasivos, invertir, diversificar, expandir y desarrollar negocios en segmentos calves de la economía: energía, telecomunicaciones, entretenimiento, agro, transporte y real estate (ud. puede verlo el en sitio de la empresa http://www.scp.com.ar)
      SCP posee dos “perlitas” una es Metrotel y la principal es CGC (Compañía General de Combustibles) de la cual COME posee el 30% y el 70% Corp. América (de E. Eurnekian), en el mes de marzo 2015 CGC adquirió las aéreas petroleras de la Cuenca Austral de Petrobras con una capacidad de producción de 15.000 barriles diarios y por las cuales pago $820 millones de pesos con un crédito bancario a tasa badlar del 5,9% anual pagadero en 13 cuotas trimestrales a pagar a partir del 30 de diciembre de 2015, además emitió y coloco ONs por u$s250 millones destinado a ampliar la producción, explotación y nuevas inversiones.
      Entonces de esta manera la producción anterior de CGC sumado a lo nuevo que como muy bien indica el Sr “Fer” con los números de la Secretaría de Energía podemos comprobar que la empresa multiplico por 100 la producción de petróleo y más de 30 la de gas en el último trimestre. Además recordemos que en argentina se paga un barril de petróleo a precio subsidiado de aprox. u$s62 y gas u$s7,5 el millon de BTU, multiplicado por la producción menos costos estimados, tomando el 30% correspondiente a COME y todo los demás negocios, podemos estimar un resultado para el 2T 2015 de COME de aprox. $200M de ganancia consolidada a presentarse en el balance el 11/08/15. La misma la podemos comparar contra la ganancia del 1T 2015 en $48M o 2T 2014 $32M o la ganancia anual de todo el 2014 que fueron $262M y aquí vemos el gran cambio en la empresa.
      Además le comento que durante el mes de abril cuando la cotización encontró sus nuevos máximos se acordó adquirir acciones que estaban en manos de ENTERPRISES LATAM HOLDING un Ex acreedor había recibido acciones a cambio del pasivo que dejo soldati, dichas acciones 49,9 millones de nominales fueron volcadas al mercado por el agente 035 y absorbidas en su mayoría por la empresa ya que el objetivo del directorio es alcanzar el 51% y con ello el control.
      El mes de agosto 2015 quedará en la historia de COME por sus números, por su futuro y por las importantes noticias que vendrán a corto plazo, y será recordada en la historia bolsera como por ejemplo aquella de alpargatas, entre otras.

      • German

        Alberto, excelente tu información sobre COME.
        Te pregunto por casualidad, si sabes quien está llevando cantidad de papeles a través del OTC (especie CVVIF)
        Entre el 2 y el 5 de junio, se negociaron 22 millones de acciones. Si podes aportar algo al respecto, te lo agradezco!

        • TraderRule

          German con respecto a su consulta, esto decía el 15 de mayo “se entregaron acciones en el OTC para el que quiere el 51%, CONFIRMADO recién, pero aún faltan muchas”.
          COME es verde por donde se la mire, a esperar lo mejor que vendrá en Agosto, falta muy poco para que arranque fuerte.

  4. fer

    Santiago, esa es una decisión que debes tomar vos, yo le veo cuerda para el corto, mediano y largo, para mi es la mejor opción dentro del panel líder, por lejos, pero bueno, conozco la empresa y se los cambios que se han hecho y a partir del próximo balance empezará a mostrar sus frutos.
    Pero siempre es uno el que debe investigar como bien lo hiciste vos, cuando te guié a la página, esos son los números reales, oficiales, no hay mucho más que decir, solo esperar que oficialicen el balance el 10/8, ahí veremos que nos presentan y para que está de ahora en más.

    Lo que te puedo decir es que en la recuperación en la que venía, ganaba 100 millones anuales con resultados negativos no asignados abultados, y ahora no solo ganó arriba de 200 el año pasado además de bajar los resultados negativos, si no que es muy posible que veamos un balance aprox. de 200 millones para solo un trimestre

    Si queres estar seguro, de si tiene futuro o no, esperá al 10/8 y lee el balance que se va a presentar, así te sacas todas las dudas. Veo que no sos un especulador, sos un inversor, por lo tanto no tenés que anticiparte tanto, podés esperar que se confirme lo que parece ser.
    Abrazo

  5. Tavares
    Author

    COME: si, la veo firme luego del vencimiento de opciones.
    CTIO: Veo más compradores a medida que se acerca el resultado del 2do. trimestre

  6. Santiago

    Alberto, fer, Héctor…muchas gracias por la información! Ahora entiendo porque eñla suba que viene acumulando en el año! Además me gusta que el directorio sea planee una política de pagar dividendos a los accionistas cuando recupere sus resultados positivos…quizás incorpore algo a mi cartera!
    Además quiero decir que la página está muy buena, un amigo me la recomendó leer!
    Saludos y gracias nuevamente!

  7. Francisco

    Estimados, que piensan de TS, hace un tiempo la vengo siguiendo y veo que esta media dormida..cae un poco y luego se estabiliza nuevamente

    Saludos

  8. Tavares
    Author

    Francisco: Los balances de TS no son para suponer recuperación muy sostenida. El precio del petróleo le juega en contra y la misma firma cuando comenta las perspectivas es bastante realista. Para mantener posiciones y nada más.

  9. ALB

    Alberto tengo unos call de COME y me preocupo bastante estos días, por lo que decís me conviene aguantar ??
    Tendría tiempo hasta el 14 de agosto entiendo es el 3er viernes p las opciones

    • Alberto

      ALB no puedo decirle que hacer, cada inversor debe tomar sus decisiones y en este país puede padar cualquier cosa. El ejercicio de opciones es el 20/08, el vencimiento el 21/08, el balance tiene fecha límite para el 11/08 y las PASO son el 09/08. Otro gran detalle de COME es la gran cantidad de lotes con alta VI que pagaron y llevaron durante las últimas semanas. Le pregunto ¿Si ud. quiere comprar millones de nominales sin levantar el precio de la accion, como lo haría? Le respondo, como lo hacen los profesionales, llevando gran cantidad de lotes para ejercer y ofreciendo una muy buena tasa a la contraparte.

  10. ALB

    Gracias a todos !!!!

    buena info la que tiran , me agarró miedito el otro día , es increíble como se le da mas bola a encuestas que a
    fundamentals o proyecciones de empresas que locura !

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  257. With havin so much content and articles do you ever run into any issues of plagorism or copyright infringement? My site has a lot of unique content I’ve either created myself or outsourced but it seems a lot of it is popping it up all over the internet without my authorization. Do you know any ways to help stop content from being stolen? I’d definitely appreciate it.

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  349. With havin so much content and articles do you ever run into any issues of plagorism or copyright infringement? My site has a lot of exclusive content I’ve either created myself or outsourced but it seems a lot of it is popping it up all over the internet without my agreement. Do you know any ways to help stop content from being stolen? I’d truly appreciate it.

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  372. Hey there! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any problems with hackers? My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing a few months of hard work due to no backup. Do you have any methods to stop hackers?

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