SALIO EL O PERDIERON TODOS (viernes negro)

 

ViernesMiamiGratis

 

 

El sorpresivo resultado que tuvo la consulta en Gran Bretaña, y que en la práctica determinó la salida de este reino de la Unión Europea, determina una caída fuerte en los mercados bursátiles y un fuerte deterioro de la libra esterlina. Como siempre cuando suceden estos acontecimientos, se requiere prudencia, especialmente en la plaza local. Siempre hay oportunidades para mejorar carteras pese a la previsible caída local en la rueda de hoy.

2.393 comentarios

  1. Rodolfo

    Después nos quejamos de los encuestadores nacionales. Vergonzoso lo que hicieron con los resultados previos de las encuestas sobre el plebiscito ingles.

  2. Realmente inesperado final por lo que se venía sondeando a lo largo del dia de ayer.
    Lo que se viene es impredecible, o al menos la profundidad de la caída.
    El tema es estructural y la movida de esta pieza moverá indefectiblemente las posiciones de todas las restantes.
    Argentina, ¿su Bolsa se verá ineludiblemente afectada, más ahora que entramos de vuelta al menos al vestíbulo del mundo?. Cuanto la afectará solo Dios lo sabe. ¿Más los ADRs que las locales?. Posiblemente.

    Quizás haya una sacudida y después una enmienda con una curitas como ocurrió tantas veces, para luego sí precipitarse más a fondo y hacer dulce de los inversores incautos. Siempre aparece alguna excusa para justificar la limpieza necesaria para reiterar una y otra vez un nuevo ciclo.
    Cuanto le pegará a este bendito y austral país de América, ahora que se estaban calentando los motores de próximas inversiones foráneas, es la clave. a dilucidar.

  3. Accionista

    Buenas..

    Nadie vio venir que ganara el alejamiento de UK de Europa.. basta ver el comportamiento bursatil ayer claramente optimista.. en fin.. habra sacudon inevitable, los bancos seran los mas perjudicados lamentablemente.. pero no veo que sea tan grave para el resto y a la larga nos veremos beneficiados.. UK se transformara en comprador independiente.. la Union Europea no tendra mas beneficios por sobre el resto al relacionarse con ellos. Salimos de peores que esta.. FE!

    Ahora sientense y miren el bardo que se arma en UK.. la libra esterlina cae a sus valores mas bajos.. Escocia ya quiere independizarse, lei que Gales tambien podria hacerlo.. como argentino no puedo evitar cierto regocijo.

    Slds!

  4. Gente, soy muy nuevo en esto. Que recomiendan hacer a partir de hoy?

    Vender y esperar afuera?, pasarse a bonos?, Esperar manteniendo posiciones?

    Leo siempre el foro y sus aportes son muy apreciados!

    Gracias!!!

  5. Accionista

    Como dije antes.. los bancos van a trastabillar hoy y es esperable siendo en su mayoria de origen europeo.

    Depende todo de cuan temblorosas sean tus manos.. hoy hay gente haciendo puerta 12, y otros con los mediomundos llevandose el cardumen.

    No es tan apocaliptico para nosotros. Seguimos orientados a un semestre maravilloso. FE! Slds.

    PS: El dolar pego un saltito importante.. mas alla de todo el desequilibrio en la largada intuyo que hoy algunos papeles terminaran verde el dia.

  6. ALB

    iupiiii Ledesma Ctio Molinos y Oeste regaladas gente hay q aprovechar .
    El patagonia a 31.8 fue oportunidad para mí veremos como salió pero no lo podía dejar pasar
    Longvie a 4.65 juaaaa spetacularrrrr
    Ctio en 31.5 no salía la orden , las pantallas congeladas cuando volvieron ya estaban 31.6 y así pero igual pudimos llevar mas este papel no para de darnos satisfacciones sun relojito .
    Creo que lo mejor de hoy fué OESTE a 10.35 10.4 Gracias Maestro Ud la tiene reclara !!!

  7. Gustavo90

    La verdad que hay para elegir…
    Aunque yo esperaria un poquito, paciencia a no apurarse
    Cash is king

  8. Javier Aguirre

    Yo tb opinio lo mismo con el valor del dolar , ojo al final de la jornada.Bancos argentinos muchos bonos atados al dolar.Ver al final de la jornada, o semana que viene.

    Nos vemos, Javier

  9. Colegas foristas, no se dejen CAGAR, con las cotizantes del panel general, que en el ano, no han subido mucho, si quieren bajarle el precio que se los bajen a las del panel LIDER que ya subieron NO SE DEJEN CAGAR, VENDIENDO A PRECIO DE REMATE. NO SEAN PELOTUDOS.

    • Mat

      Veo Ledesma y me dan ganas de cag*r a trompadas a los que vendían hoy. El dolar sube y la acción baja. El azúcar a pesar de todo sigue súper firme a pasos de los 20 dólares en N. York. Ignorantes!!!!!!!!!!
      No sabes lo identificado que estoy con tus palabras colega.

  10. Principiante, aparece vos tambien sos un viejo y experimentado bolsero, Tu opinion tambien es importante.La sabiduria, es hija de la experiencia. O me equivoco ????????

    • Principiante

      Barandista. Esta vez la vi al revés. Creía que las encuestas allá eran más serias que las de acá, y me equivoqué. El jueves había intentado vender algo, sin regalar, y no pude. Me había quedado muy poco efectivo. Con eso me llevé algo de Celulosa cuando la Bolsa ya se había recuperado en parte de la paliza inicial. Como vos bien decís uno puede ser viejo y experimentado, pero a veces con eso tampoco alcanza. Esta vez me equivoqué. Y te juro que no es la primera. De todos modos creo que esto se va a ir recomponiendo. Abrazo.

  11. Por ahora huelo incertidumbre.
    Los números engañan,son como la percepción del frio los dias de mucha humedad, sentis calor pero si te descuidás, te engripas igual.

    Los ADR traducidos a pesos por el dólar argento en alza tiñen las pantallas.

    Alan Geespan, viejo zorro habla de punta del iceberg y de lo peor que podia haber pasado.
    El kilombete recién empieza. No es para cortarse las venas, nada de eso. Pero tampoco es para festejar con champagne.

    Lo que para algunos es “recupere”, para otros es “oportunidad para salir”.
    La posta se conocerá en unas semanas, entre tanto hay que pagar para ver y esa decisión le cabe en lo intimo a cada cual.

    Saludos

  12. BOLSERO VIEJO

    El mercado local esta firme. Como siempre en estos casos, hoy temprano era para cargar y mejorar las carteras. No va a terminar en verde hoy, pero va a recortar muchas de las bajas iniciales. Y nos da una ayuda importante el salto del “San Dolar”. Dato: LLEVEN ALGO DE COME

  13. Lemagicien, pienso como vos, todavia faltaN varios dias de vencimientos de cauciones por altos importes La incertidumbre sigue. El pueblo ingles se canso, QUE con EL pago de .sus impuestos SOLUCIONEN LAS CAGADAS ECONOMICAS Q SE MANDAN OTROS PAISES EUROPEOS.Seguramente otros ricos paises europeos. Lo van a seguir.

  14. Joset

    Qué bien Caputo como aguantó el temblor y cerró casi neutra.

    Que tendrá que ver el brexit con una constructora local. .??

  15. Ruben

    q papel de las lideres cerro verde,….!!! y eso q aca se viene hablando y no le dan bola,…!!! Pampa Energia quedo muy tomador en el plano local y cerro positivo contra todo el market en contra debido a lo acontecido y conocido por todos.
    El Adr recorto muy bien y tambien cerro tomador,…..!!! esto marca la fortaleza de este papel y esta anticipando lo q se vendra,…..!!! Otro q no deben descuidar es Comercial del Plata,……siempre hablando de las lideres!!! y sigan a Cresud q ya en julio integra el panel lider…… Panel general hay muchas
    La proxima semana con bajas de tasas nuevamente y recupero de valor del dolar,….ayudaran a nuestro mercado a recuperar la caida del merval hoy,….q dicho sea de paso se despacho con casi 700 millones operados en acciones,…..!!! mucha compra hubo,…..eso nos esta indicando algo,…….!!!
    Buen finde y atentos a las noticias,…….!!!!!!!!

  16. Este es un partido dentro de un torneo. Lo positivo de Pam hoy ayudada definitivamente por el cambio de paridad del dólar, no asegura resultados a corto plazo.
    El tema GB y Europa en general no es moco de pavo y no parece que se vaya a disolver de forma sencilla ya que trae ademas aparejados efectos dominó en los cercanos y no tanto para un lado y para e otro. Yo prefiero no tomarla a la ligera, de hecho vacié toda mi cartera y estoy líquido 100% con una punta de calls octubre CRES que ya tenia y con unos pocos calls de CAPEX agost.
    La experiencia me dice que no vimos todo lo que se puede llegar a ver dentro de esta crisis. La dimension del problema aun no pudo ser bien justipreciada. Las malas noticias se contagian y los muertos resucitan como en las pelis de terror cuando menos lo esperamos.
    El buen timing asegura grandes ganancias. Invertir no siempre es estar comprado.
    Julio no es históricamente un buen mes para la bolsa.
    Ser cauto es la actitud más aconsejable para estos tiempos. Por dejar de ganar nadie se hace pobre.
    Saludos

  17. Pepe Argento

    Pense que iba a ser peor la rueda de hoy, apenas nos pusieron la puntita.

    El lunes veremos si es solo puntita y despegamos o nos entra el tronco y ahi a pedirle vaselina y lubricante a Flavio Mendoza para que no nos duela.

  18. Accionista

    Hubo panic attack tempranito.. mucho intradario y de ahi que el volumen del merval parezca de otro planeta.

    Definitivamente PAMP esta en otra escala.. soy realista, no fanatico.. hoy se mantuvo gracias a lo que mencione antes del salto del dolar sumado a su solidez. La semana que viene habra baja en el papel/toma de ganancias, pero quien te quita ser el unico papel positivo en un viernes de brexit?.. Termina de deglutirse a PESA y el fin de año de Pampa sera muy bueno. Es sin dudas uno de los grandes papeles del 2do semestre.

    Los bancos van a seguir drenandose los proximos dias, en especial los europeos, no hubo correccion acorde a lo que bajaron afuera.

    Esperemos que el aumento desacostumbrado del dolar hoy no asuste al gobierno y discontinue la baja de las tasas.

    Hay mucha oportunidad para quien este liquido de poder llevarse precios promocionales en muchos papeles de gran futuro en corto/mediano plazo. Slds!

    PS: En dias como hoy es ineludible reconocer la diferencia entre una accion seria… y el carton pintado.

  19. Histórico

    Los que se suicidaron fueron los ingleses.
    Empezó el desmembramiento del Reino Unido. Escoceses, galeses e irlandeses ya quieren independizarse de Inglaterra y ser europeos. La libra se derrumbó un 10%.
    Y acá se llevaron todo! El mercado negoció acciones por casi $ 700 millones y la caída no fue la que muchos preveían.
    Fue una oportunidad de compra. Yo aproveché para recomprar a 33 las CTIO vendidas a 40, y espero no equivocarme.
    PAMPA negoció más de $ 100 millones.
    Todos los indicios son para que nuestra Bolsa suba.
    Muy bien AUSO Y OESTE tal como había anticipado por los muy buenos balances que se vienen más las perspectivas de ampliación de la concesión.
    Buen fin de semana para todos y a descansar tranquilos todos los bolseros.

    • Pepe Argento

      Yo vendi bancos y compre Ctio en $32,50 recupero el triangulo y me jugue con algunas a ver que pasa, la empresa es seria solamente que Eduardo deje de meternos la puntita a nosotros con tanta caida y se la meta mejor a su mujer.

      Los bancos no me gusta este ch0ta de Brexit se va a sentir en los bancos, puede joderlos a mediano plazo, por eso vendí.

  20. asdas

    Una vez más la importancia de algo básico como diversificar… que algunos no siguen. Me bajaron las acciones pero me subieron los bonos. Menos mal que no operé ayer… ahora a ver el momento para vender unos u$d que tengo y entrar a las ofertas en RV!!

  21. ELIO

    Lo que mas me sorprendio el nivel de pánico inicial, porque las bajas empezaron por el panel general, y no por las que mas habían subido del panel líder como era esperado, luego sí todo era un 5% abajo sin excepción, salvo las europeas como TEF Y STD, que estaban un 12 o 13 abajo.
    Si no hubiese movido las fichas hoy terminaba un 1% abajo sobre ayer, o sea en la gloria, pero me deje llevar y vendi el 20% de la cartera, tomando ganancias de petróleo, algo de PAMP, y algo de CRES, y parte de BMA, planificando quedarme con eso en cash, y ver la semana que viene como viene la mano, cargue las ordenes antes de las 11,
    pero no pude con mi genio y cuando vi que paraba la hemorragia, ayudada por la devaluación del peso, empece a comprar, y en síntesis, achique un 5% la exposición al petróleo, y me deje tentar por los precios agregando mas de ERAR,MOLI, EDN, PATY y me jugué con alguito de TEF, todo bien abajo, y promedie a la baja mis rojos con algo de COME, MORI, y STD como para timbear. Vendí con la baja pero alcance a comprar también en esa instancia, luego se fue recuperando.
    En definitiva termine un 2% abajo, en lugar del 1% si no movia las fichas, y 100% adentro, arriesgándome a como siga la película la semana próxima. Valuando en dólares, que lo hago siempre me bajó un 5.8%, que en realidad es la verdadera baja si somos realistas ya que es la moneda dura, por algo en pesos no se sintió tanto, al 2.23% de baja del merval habría que sumarle el 4% de devaluación, pero bueno depende como se lo mire, últimamente se venia ganando lindo en dólares.

    • Pepe Argento

      SI!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! mejor que ahora suba esta guacha sino vuelve las puteadas epicas, le saque rendimiento a todos los papeles menos a esta garcha, pero ahora no esta el virgo de Einlazaro comprado, barren al pajero que vende y se va a $40.

      Lleve en la base del triangulo mejor precio de compra imposible.

  22. Histórico

    No lo jodan a Pepe que hizo bien en buscar la revancha en CTIO.
    Esta vez va a ganar plata y recuperarse.
    Todo tiene su techo y su piso y hoy si querías comprar cantidad en CTIO no conseguías papeles.

    • Pepe Argento

      Me lleve unas 15K aproveche que regalaban para abajo, cuando hay buen clima no conseguis tantas sin despertar la perdiz.

      Ahora que el viejo gaga de Eduardo se tome un viagra asi el papel vuela y se pone bien erecto y vuelve a los $40.

      Tambien tengo Pampa y Cresud, vendi Macro y Frances porque esta verga del Brexit los deja parados como el 0rto.

  23. MAVERICK

    HOLA A TODOS.
    NO PUDE SUMAR PAPELES EN CTIO PORQUE NO TENGO LIQUIDEZ. PERO SIN DUDA EL CIERRE DEL TRIMESTRE CON UN DOLAR ARRIBA DE 15 Y UNA POSICION FUERTE DE LIQUIDEZ EN DOLARES VA A SER RECOMPENZADA SEGURAMENTE. CREO QUE SE PONE LINDO DE AHORA EN MAS.
    SALUDOS.

    MAVERICK

    • Pepe Argento

      Acordate de Pepe dentro de 4 años CTIO = $1.000 , sale bien lo de Bal Harbor y de un dia para el otro gana su capitalizacion bursatil, es una oportunidad unica, hay mas probabilidades que venga Pampita a tirarme la goma en mi casa que poder comprar un papel que en un solo año gana lo que vale por bolsa como Consultatio y se me dio nomas tengo un papel que en un año gana su capitalizacion bursatil.

  24. COMPREN COME Y PAMPA Y DESPUES ACUERDENSEN DE MI !!! LA SEMANA PROXIMA OTRA VEZ TODO PARA ARRIBA COMO CORRESPONDE, ESTE MERCADO ESTA MUUUUYYY ATRASADOOO…. SALU2

  25. Escuche en el noticiero. Se vienen plesbicitos en paises ricos: Francia. Holanda y tambien Escocia. Hay q analizar el dia a dia. Nadie es adivino. A lo mejor por el logico panico, muchos no le dieron la ponderacion q el tema merece. Habra q ir comprando cedears de Barrik??

  26. Javier Aguirre

    Yo compre Bma cuando estaba 4.45% abajo, es impredecible lo que puede pasar por el efecto cascada en otros paises ,ej España, pero nunca que hice negocios por mi personalidad me gusto ser conservador, mas bien tengo aversion al riesgo asi que si el lunes esta en baja alugna con fundamentos e incoherente para mi gusto comprare tb.
    Conclucion : por ejemplo Gran Bretaña se fue de union europea y deja de comer ? La bola de cristal no la tiene nadie y es epoca de muy buenas oportunidades ami entender, hay que conocerse uno mismo para invertir y estar tranquilo, sin dudar .

    Nos vemos, Javier

  27. Javier Aguirre

    os bancos dependerán del éxito de su ingeniería financiera por cuanto tienen liquidez pero también títulos dolarizados y dólar divisa. Este comentario del Sr Tavares en el resumen semanal del Jueves me hizo comprar Bma, no por capricho, compro y espero, tambien depende el horizonte de inversion que le pongas.

    Nos vemos , Javier

  28. Javier Aguirre

    75% del electorado menor de 50 años voto por quedarse , 80 % del electorado mayor de 50 años por irse, ¿como se lee esto? los que realmente laburan quieren que darse y los viejos que siempre vivieron de chupar la sangre al mundo quieren irse de la Ue.

    No esta muy claro, hay que darle tiempo, y ver que pasa en Inglaterra tb.

    Nos vemos, Javier

  29. Codigos. A llorar a otro lado. La voz de las urnas son para respetarlas, gane quien las gane y punto. Aca gano Macri. Y hay QUE respetarlo, nos guste, o no no guste. La voz del pueblo es mas importante que la voz que le guste a nuestro bolsillo. Hay que ser honorable gente de Codigos. Y se viene Francia, Holanda , Italia y Escocia. Compra Oro o Plata, como la Leyenda Viviente de los bolseros. La voz de las Urnas es la Voz de Dios, no de nuestros bolsillos.Aunque hayan ganado por 1 VOTO. Es Legal.

  30. Aunque muchos me caguen puteando, muy posiblemente, y debido a la situacion macroeconomica, conocida por todos, el gobierno el martes, decida mantener o aumentar las tasas de las Lebacs.

  31. Gustavo

    Cameron se quiere matar, accedió a darle validez al Referéndum, pensando que se trataba de una consulta tipo, “Los shoppings, deberían abrir los domingos?” y le salió como el reverendo orto, incluso asegurando que sin importar el resultado seguiría en el cargo. La realidad le mostró otra cara dejándolo como el boludo número 1 del planeta, puesto que comparte con José Lopez, así que imagínense que pedazo de boludo hablamos. Hoy los grandes líderes de la UE le están pasando factura por grosero error. Tan grosero, que Change org está juntando firmas para nuevo plebiscito y que ya lleva más de 20 veces la cantidad necesaria para elevar un pedido de tratado en el Parlamento. Hasta se está impulsando otro pedido para independizar Londres de UK y conformar el bloque UE. Queda claro que el premio nabo del milenio ya tiene dueño.

  32. Manana hay elecciones nacionales en Eapana. Si llega a perder el oficialismo de Mariano Rajoy o ganar de manera ajustada, el lunes continua el crak en Espana, y quien sabe donde mas.

  33. Rodolfo

    Pienso que con lo del brexit va a pasar algo similar (salvando las distancias y solo en materia de bolsa) con lo sucedido con la crisis de Brasil (Vilma). Ejemplo: con APBR se pudieron hacer más de una entrada y salida rápida con buena ganancia de corto plazo (aquí influyó también el precio del crudo). En el caso del brexit van a ser más las acciones que permitirán ese juego ejemplo bancos. Queremos especulación y nos dan más especulación.

  34. Javier Aguirre

    Si, esta bien, pero la pregunta mas importante ¿PUEDE HABER UN SEGUNDO PLESBISCITO?

    ¿PODEMOS DAR UN PASO PARA ATRAS Y VER TODO EL PANORAMA y NO ENCERRARNOS EN UNA IDEA?

    VUELVO A PREGUNTAR LO MAS IMPORTANTE ¿ PUEDE HABER UN SEGUNDO REFERENDUM?

    MAS DE UN MILLON DE FIRMAS ¿ES OBLIGACION VOTAR DE NUEVO?

    Ojo el Lunes como habririan las bolsas.

    Nos vemos, Javier

  35. cristaldo

    Ahhh nooo….si vuelven a votar no vale !!! Yo quiero que se repitan las elecciones del 2008 entonces!!!
    No se vale.

  36. Gustavo

    No, no creo que exista la posibilidad de una segunda encuesta, lo que quería evidenciar es el grosero error del Primer Ministro en subestimar que el voto popular por la salida, sería más fuerte que el de quedarse dentro de la UE.
    Claramente, no tenían una visión amplia del voto más alejado de las grandes urbes, ni el voto de un sector pasivo de la sociedad a la que es difícil acceder, que optó por el Brexit más por una cuestión xenófoba, que relacionada a cuestiones macroeconómicas. En fin, que se vayan por porfiados, soberbios y taimados.

  37. El pensamiento y el fin ultimo del Brexit, va en linea con el del posible presidente de USA.Quizas.tbien por eso el Guru Soros, se la jugo por el Oro.

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