QUE PASARÁ EL «DIA DESPUES»

aluar_carta-financiera

 

 

 

 

La demora para mañana de la decisión de la Corte Suprema de Estados Unidos respecto a los fondos buitres no cambia la opinión de la mayoría de los analistas respecto al resultado final. Todo indica que la Corte pedirá opinión al mismo gobierno del país del norte. Si esa hipótesis resulta correcta, se afianzarán los mercados tal cual sucedió durante las últimas semanas. A la previsible toma de ganancias (“comprar con el rumor, vender con la noticia”), seguramente se sumarán nuevos jugadores del exterior que hasta ahora tenían vedada a la Argentina, por razones obvias.

Acciones atrasadas: Aluar y Siderar

La pregunta del millón es contestar cuales son las acciones que serán más favorecidas. En una primera instancia, las que cotizan en Wall Street, especialmente los bancos. Una gran favorecida será YPF, en la mira de los inversores desde la llegada de su actual presidente al directorio de la petrolera estatal. Otras acciones que pueden verse más demandadas son  Aluar y Siderar, notoriamente atrasadas, Consultatio y Pampa Energía.

En julio viene al país el Primer Ministro de China. Seguramente va a anunciar financiamiento de 2 represas y la apertura del mercado para carne con hueso, que son cortes que actualmente no se exportan.

EL LANCE

A fin de año se reabriría el mercado americano y de Canadá para los cortes “premium”. Actualmente se están completando todos los protocolos sanitarios. La capitalización bursátil de Quickfood vale poco más de 55 millones de dólares y puede ser un gran lance pese a que la coyuntura parece no ayudarla. A título ilustrativo cabe señalar que Marfrig, el anterior dueño de Quickfood la pagó 200 millones de dólares y que en el mundo, Tyson acaba de comprar la Cía. Hillshire por 7700 millones de dólares. JBS, controlante de Swift en la Argentina, perdió la puja por dicha empresa.

Héctor Tavares, IECO, Clarín, 15.6.2014

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