PORQUE PUEDE SER NEGOCIO AGROMETAL

 

agrometal

 

 

Agrometal perdió 12,7 millones en el primer trimestre. Obvio, no vende en este período con fábrica cerrada en enero. Todo el mundo sabía que venía con pérdidas, sin embargo el papel está sostenido.

Una hipótesis para el año 2016:

venta de sembradoras: 500 (pensamos que es una cifra conservadora)

precio promedio por máquina: $ 1,5 millones0 = 750 millones de pesos

Con una utilidad conservadora del 10%, ganaría 75 millones-12,7 que perdió en 3 meses= $ 62,3 millones

Capital: 48 millones : A $8 daría un PER de 8 aprox.

Esto en plena crisis con inundaciones y demás. En próximos años mejoraría sustancialmente. Y hay mucho “floating”. El Grupo mayoritario acusa sólo el 56% de los votos.

Como toda hipótesis, PUEDE FALLAR

H.T.

 

3.363 comentarios

  1. Pepe Argento

    Agrometal es puro humo, si queres una empresa que fabrique ponela en Longvie o Garovaglio son los P/E mas bajos de la bolsa y casi nunca te madrugan con una perdida, con los dividendos que dan en caso que no suban tenes tu 30% anual, sin olvidar que un dia salga un rumor y una zanahora que lleven esos P/E a 15 y cuadrupliques la inversion.

    Esos papeles son para inversionistas con mucha paciencia son papeles bien tortugas la podes cuadruplicar la semana que viene como dentro de 6 años cuando el mercado se digne a darle pelota a esas empresas atrasadas.

    Nada de eso le gana a la super Ctio papel de $1.000 dentro de unos cuantos años acuerdense de Pepe dentro de unos años.

    • Murray

      Pepe Argento = Einlazer84?. Por dios, deja de defender tu compra en CTIO. Eso
      Agrometal tiene un futuro enorme.

      • Pepe Argento

        Porque no te vas a kgar salamin.

        Agrometal tiene mas humo que Caruso dejate de joder.

        Ctio gana guita y Agrometal la pierde, vendiendo sembradoras no llega ni a la esquina date cuenta del potencial de cada empresa salame.

        Por lo de Einlazarobaez si estas enamorado de el anda a buscarlo a Rava y quitale la virginidad pero no me rompas las tarlipes a mi.

    • Mat

      Déjense de embromar con el colifa ese de Einlazer. Tantas identidades distintas tiene? No acrecienten su fama al divino botón.

      • Pepe Argento

        @Mat: Aclaraselo al salame de Murray que arranco y Juan Kgon. Si contestan tremendas burradas salgo a ponerles un correctivo.

  2. Histórico

    De acuerdo Pepe, LONGVIE y GARO son los papeles más baratos de la Bolsa, gerenciados seriamente y siempre pagan dividendos.
    Igualmente, como ya saben, mi preferido siempre fue LONGVIE por presente y futuro. Agregó hace más de un año la marca italiana Candy a su línea de producción y ahora tiene en carpeta la producción de paneles para energía solar.
    Agrégale a las empresas con grandes posibilidades de subas bursátiles las de peajes: AUSO y OESTE con atrasos tarifarios de todavía más de un 50% respecto al contrato original (reclamados en juicio ante el CIADI) y negociaciones para la extensión de sus contratos de concesión. Sus últimos balances están demostrando su amplia capacidad de ganancias y su importante posición en inversiones líquidas por sus excedentes financieros.

  3. Lamentablemente se acabaron las expectativas rapidas( tarifazos y balances) ahora, aunque no, nos guste tenemos q tener paciencia. Nos habiamos acostumbrado a las ganancias rapidas
    .

  4. Daniel

    En 1992 compré mis primeras acciones ,primero Telecom después Ipako,J Minetti,Perkins,y ……Agrometal que por esa época ya venía perdiendo plata jeejee.Reconozco que compré caro,y que no sabía mucho .Leía Ambito y Clarín ,cuando pasé un día por la bolsa todo caía un 15%,y se repitió dos días más para rebotar y seguir cayendo.Cuando me decidí a vender todo,más por bronca que por lógica ,me quedaba un 20 %.Alguien me dijo que los que más ganaban eran los bancos y comprando ,caucionando para comprar más etc recuperé casi todo.Hace 3 años volví pero soy más prudente,por eso dejé pasar Agro cuando estaba a $2.Prefiero los bonos y las empresas que reportan ganancias,aunque me perdí Mirgor por desconfiado y no soy ningún W Buffet.

  5. Lemagiscien

    CARC un lance de ruleta con bastantes chances de pleno. Es la única muerta de la bolsa argenta de largo velatorio que puede generar alguna sorpresa después de la suscripción. No para enloquecer sí para tirar un fichín.

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