MIRANDO BALANCES -la nota de la semana-

 

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La recomendación de prudencia emitida por la Reserva Federal con relación a los precios de Wall Street hizo reflexionar a los inversores del Norte, con repercusión en nuestro país que ya insinuaba una “toma de ganancias”. Al margen del efecto negativo inmediato, necesario para consolidar la base del mercado, la duda sobre la sustentabilidad de la reacción económica en EE. UU diluye la posibilidad  de un incremento de tasas que atentaría contra  el mercado bursátil. Nuestro mercado tiene la particularidad de verse influenciado por un acto electoral, pero mantiene la característica de fondo: cualquier nuevo gobierno debe eliminar distorsiones que  afectan el desarrollo económico. De allí que toda exageración en la corrección de precios, es “oportunidad de compra”. El sector bancario demuestra buenos resultados en su 1º Trimestre a pesar que su comparación con el 1º del 2014 es marcadamente  negativo. Es que en 2014 influyó positivamente la devaluación de enero que revalorizó los activos en moneda extranjera. La comparación con el 4º trimestre 2014 en todos los casos es positiva. BANCO PATAGONIA ganó en el 1º Trimestre 575.4 con capital de 719.2 millones y con Reservas para futuros dividendos por 2231,2 millones y Resultados no Asignados por 2753.5 millones. Adeuda 145% en efectivo por dividendos. GRUPO FINANCIERO GALICIA presentó utilidades en 3 meses por 958,4 millones con capital de 1300,2 millones y resultados no asignados por 4296,2 millones. El 22 de mayo abona 7,6907% en efectivo. BANCO HIPOTECARIO en 3 meses ganó 176,1 millones con capital de 1500 millones y resultados no asignados por 471 millones. Caputo, que inicialmente había prometido un mayor dividendo, finalmente paga el 22.5.2015 el nada despreciable $ 0,3929528 por acción, lo que representan 22 millones. El desaliento del nuevo dividendo determinó una fuerte corrección de la acción que quedó nuevamente “a tiro”.

Muy buena impresión causo el 1º Trimestre de TELECOM con el aliciente que le representa para el futuro la incorporación de nuevos servicios, tales como el 4G.En 3 meses ganó 1028 millones con capital de 969 millones y resultados no asignados por 4701 millones.

Héctor Tavares

 

 

 

2.324 comentarios

  1. htavares

    Es correcto sobre Ctio. Pero me parece que ya no presiona la oferta y a estos precios cada vez hay más compradores.
    Me gustó CECO2

  2. Nicolas

    Hola, cuando dice “Reservas para futuros dividendos por 2231,2 millones” dicho monto debe ser abonado en el lapso del año corriente?
    Y por otro lado, los Resultados no Asignados pueden ir a pago de dividendos o nunca se pueden incluir alli?

    Saludos

  3. CUERVO

    Sigue mostrando altos volumenes negociados Comercial del Plata, los dos vendedores puntuales que se observan en la plaza, son hasta el momento bien absorvidos, por una demanda que continua viendo valores superiores a los actuales, … Por otra parte el balance va a reflejar lo que ud. bien mencionó “ES UNA NUEVA EMPRESA” y eso hace que su pasado ya no existe, con lo cual su valuacion, negocios y reacomodamiento de su portafolio de inversiones se presente “COMO ALGO NUEVO”.
    El balance sin aun mostrar el impacto de la ganancias futuras que traera C.G.C. mostrara mejoras en la mayoria de sus activos, como observa Don Hector la plaza ?… Muchas Gracias por su trabajo, y un gusto como siempre leerlo.

  4. Tavares
    Author

    Nicolás: No necesariamente.
    Cuervo: La plaza esta a mi juicio firme por el volumen que hace luego de una trayectoria espectacular. Cierta digestión tiene que haber y es saludable

  5. Tavares
    Author

    Completando a Nicolas: la reserva para futuros dividendos se puede distribuir si lo aprueba la Asamblea y el BCRA. Los resultados no asignados se distribuyen o incrementan la reserva para futuros dividendos.

  6. jose

    La biblioteca está divida entre los q dicen q se termino el viento de cola y los q piensan q recien empieza.Creo puede haber alguna correción pero las espectativas de q gane q gane el país dará un vuelco importante.Creo q hay papeles regalados ej.CECO-TGN-TRANS- además por lo q significan,TS-SID. entre otras.

  7. Leandro

    Hola, quería saber sobre el pago de dividendos de Galicia, tengo entendido que teniendo la acción desde el dia 21 ya los estaría cobrando pero ¿ cuando se me pagan los dividendos y cuando ya puedo vender la acción? muchas gracias.

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