LA BOLSA EN LA HORA DEL “APRIETE”

 

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“Después de la tormenta vuelve la calma”, y la comunidad bursátil debe prepararse para esa nueva etapa. Si bien no puede esperarse un Cuarto Trimestre que supere económicamente lo ocurrido hasta ahora, los 9 meses transcurridos ya definieron el Ejercicio 2014. De allí que resulta indispensable centrarse en los últimos resultados conocidos, independientemente de la coyuntura “de apriete” que no tiene futuro por cuanto apunta a “los efectos” sin contemplar “los orígenes”. Sin “origen” no hay “efecto” y no se puede actuar “contra natura”.

Mientras se recobra la calma puede exacerbarse la baja, lo que constituye “una oportunidad de compra”. Entre los papeles más populares, no se debe descuidar a Molinos Río que en 9 meses ganó 620,6 millones (10,50 millones en 2013) con capital de 250,4 millones y reserva para futuras distribuciones de dividendos por 257, 8 millones.

Otro destacado fue Siderar que en igual periodo ganó 3078 millones (1434 millones en 2013) con capital de 4517 millones y Reserva para futuros dividendos por 2352 millones.

Quien realmente sobresalió sin tener por ahora repercusión en su cotización fue Petrobras Argentina que en 9 meses acumuló utilidades por 1.500 millones (677 millones en 2013) con Capital de 2019 millones y con un programa de inversión  por u$s 622 millones en Neuquén en la búsqueda de gas no convencional. La inversión se realizará en la formación Punta Rosada donde se prevé invertir hasta 2016 uSs 245 millones. No se debe olvidar que la producción plus se liquida a u$s 7.50 el millón de B.T.U.

Entre las acciones del Panel General, por lejos el mejor balance fue nuevamente Consultatio, que en 9 meses ganó 1289,5 millones que se amplían a 1897,7 millones si se contabilizan los resultados integrales. También se rehabilitó Petrolera Pampa, ganando 140 millones de pesos en 9 meses.

Muy buena impresión causaron los primeros tres meses del nuevo ejercicio de Garovaglio, con ganancia de 4,1 millones con capital de 20,5 millones.

Héctor Tavares

 

 

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