JAQUE A LOS MERCADOS

 

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La salida del presidente del Banco Central y la “demonización” del “contado con liqui” afectó los títulos públicos y las acciones. Como la baja trae baja, el deterioro en una primera instancia fue de magnitud, fundamentalmente por las ventas de los caucionados ya sea para conseguir mayores garantías o para cancelar operaciones.

En un momento de incertidumbre y restricciones crecientes, la inversión bursátil en empresas locales es un refugio excelente. Las previsibles trabas a las operaciones de “contado con liqui” equipararán a partir de ahora la evolución y valor de las acciones con cotización en Nueva York (adr) con el panel general. Banco Santander Río debería verse favorecido al ser la entidad privada Nº 1 en depósitos, préstamos y sucursales.  Sólo por cotizar en el panel general vale 30% menos que sus colegas. Ganó en 6 meses 1603,3 millones con un capital de 1078,9 millones. Su PER, algo más de 8 años, no existe en su rubro. Mientras que los bancos subieron en promedio más del 30% del Merval en el último año, esta acción solo acompañó al Indice.

En períodos electorales, históricamente crece la construcción pública y, en general, la de envergadura. Quizás por ello, los inversores comienzan a mirar a una acción tradicional de la Bolsa, que en estos momentos cotiza a un precio tentador.  La referencia es para Caputo que en el último año se incrementó 80% contra el 210% del índice Merval. En 6 meses ganó 19 millones con un capital de 56 millones, lo que daría un PER de menos de 7 años si se anualiza la utilidad.

Se conoce la propuesta de Garovaglio. Distribuirá 21,95% en efectivo y 46,34% en acciones. Abona los pesos en cuotas y lleva su capital a 30 millones.

Héctor Tavares, Clarín, IECO, 5.10.2014

 

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    El PER del Banco Santander Rio es menor a 8 años (7.69) y no es único en su rubro: Banco Patagonia es el más barato de Argentina con PER de 5.45

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