EL DILEMA DE LOS FONDOS BUITRE

buitre

 

 

Más allá de los tristes eventos del 2001, el mes de diciembre viene casi religiosamente trayendo problemas en materia de conflictividad social, inflación y dólar. Los últimos años diciembre había coincidido con una disparada alcista del dólar previa a la temporada de vacaciones estival, al tiempo que los saqueos, los conflictos sociales por el bono de fin de año y los problemas fiscales de las provincias por el aguinaldo generaban un clima de inquietud a los inversores. Quizás este último factor haya sido más determinante en la demanda de divisas para dolarización de las inversiones que la propia demanda de temporada.

Sin embargo, este año se muestra distinto por el optimismo reinante en torno a una expectativa positiva futura de Argentina. Ocurre que el mercado es consciente de la fuerte subvaluación de los activos argentinos (acciones y bonos) y confía en que, pasado el 2015, la Argentina normalizaría su situación con el mundo. Nada más atractivo para los capitales. El potencial local es muy alto por la cantidad de recursos no aprovechados por falta de capital para invertir en producción e infraestructura (energía principalmente).

En enero la famosa cláusula RUFO del canje de deuda dejará de estar vigente y el gobierno ya no tendría esa preocupación para encarar negociaciones definitivas con los fondos buitre. La deuda en default es el último pero importante escollo que enfrenta la Argentina para normalizar su situación con los mercados internacionales de crédito. Cuando se hizo imperioso recurrir a los capitales extranjeros, el gobierno rápidamente regularizó la deuda con el Club de París, con el CIADI y con Repsol. Incluso con el INDEC llevó adelante un cambio que luego quedó trunco. En esos momentos la deuda argentina llegó a rendir menos de dos dígitos en dólares. Pero luego estalló el fallo de la Corte Suprema de Estados Unidos y se debió volver a los mercados informales de crédito, como el “swap” con China, con condiciones poco transparentes.

Hoy en día la suerte está echada. Resta esperar qué ocurre en enero para tantear la voluntad del gobierno de resolver el conflicto y llegar con mayor solvencia al 2016. Los títulos cortos en dólares son una alternativa de inversión conservadora: frente a un escenario positivo subirán pero caerá el dólar, mientras que un escenario negativo caerán pero la suba del dólar compensará. Igualmente es difícil pensar que el dólar bolsa continúe reduciendo la brecha. Pero no es imposible, ya que ha llegado a ser de sólo un 20% (frente al actual 38% de brecha con el oficial).

La otra alternativa de inversión que el mercado mira con cierto interés son los bonos ajustados al dólar oficial, aunque su demanda también dependerá de la brecha. Se especula que cuando se cobren en el 2016 los pesos atados al oficial, si el mercado de cambios está liberado y unificado será equivalente a cobrar dólares. Si se concreta ese escenario, a través de estos títulos hoy se estarían comprando dólares al 2016 pagados al valor oficial. Igualmente los inversores saben que no es del todo seguro y que en el interregno los títulos no generarán demasiada ganancia.

 

 

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  228. Nie stale postrzegalna chorobsko somatyczna dzialajaca w niezwykle przebojowy procedura na maszynerie fizjologiczne wzwodu moze naklaniac przeswiadczone przeciwnosci z erekcja wsrod wielu wspolczesnie przebywajacych klientow. Stosujac z przygotowanych za pomoca nas brygada bezplatnych narady w tym obszarze masz szansa rezolutnego wyzbycia sie raznych zahamowan w Twoich gawedach erotycznych. Przetestujze jakim sposobem efektywne podejscia Owi wreczamy.

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  234. Hi there are using WordPress for your blog platform? I’m new to the blog world but I’m trying to get started and set up my own. Do you need any coding knowledge to make your own blog? Any help would be greatly appreciated!

  235. Today, I went to the beachfront with my kids. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said «You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.» She placed the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear. She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is completely off topic but I had to tell someone!

  236. Fantastic blog! Do you have any tips for aspiring writers? I’m hoping to start my own website soon but I’m a little lost on everything. Would you recommend starting with a free platform like WordPress or go for a paid option? There are so many options out there that I’m totally confused .. Any ideas? Thanks!

  237. Nie stale zauwazalna choroba somatyczna robiaca w wybitnie udzielajacy sie strategia na maszynerie fizjologiczne wzwodu przypuszczalnie uzyskiwac mocne trudnosci z wzwodem posrod wielu w dzisiejszych czasach egzystujacych mezow. Wykorzystujac sposrod upichconych z wykorzystaniem nas team bezplatnych konsultacji w tym charakterze posiadasz prawdopodobienstwo rzutkiego wyzbycia sie solidnych zahamowan w Twoich przypowiesciach zmyslowych. Przetestujze na miare funkcjonalne metody Ci oferujemy.

  238. Today, I went to the beach with my children. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said «You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.» She placed the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear. She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is completely off topic but I had to tell someone!

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  250. Whats up are using WordPress for your blog platform? I’m new to the blog world but I’m trying to get started and set up my own. Do you require any html coding expertise to make your own blog? Any help would be greatly appreciated!

  251. Whats up this is kinda of off topic but I was wanting to know if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding know-how so I wanted to get advice from someone with experience. Any help would be enormously appreciated!

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  262. Jesliby od chwili niedowolnego okresu zabiegasz bytu, co egzystowaloby w stanie ulzyc Twoja wzwody rowniez nie zanosisz w owym jednego wiekszego sukcesu, uradz sie na wizyta lokalnego sprawnie funkcjonujacego serwisu, ktory odciazyl uprzednio ogromnie obfitej liczbie podmiotow. Niekrajowe rutyna takze kreacyjny struktura zapomogi rozzuchwalony znaczna noeza plus postepowaniem dyskrecji zna w wybitny fortel dodac sie do zabicia Twoich trudnosci z wzwodem.

  263. I was curious if you ever thought of changing the structure of your website? Its very well written; I love what youve got to say. But maybe you could a little more in the way of content so people could connect with it better. Youve got an awful lot of text for only having 1 or two pictures. Maybe you could space it out better?

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  278. Coraz w wyzszym stopniu widzialne nerwice plciowe w wiazadlu sposrod solidnymi skromniej innymi slowy bardziej konwencjonalnymi spowolnieniami umyslowymi sa w stanie wplynac, na jakosc egzystencja zmyslowego wielu indywiduow. Codzienny stres takze jeszcze szybsze tok byty ceduja sie natezac tego typu uzycia, opuszczajac naprzeciwko coraz wiekszemu zapotrzebowaniu w tej sferze preparowalismy rozlegla inicjatywy ofertowa bezplatnych konsultacji nielekarskich dla jednostek posiadajacych pasztety z wzwodem.

  279. I was wondering if you ever thought of changing the structure of your blog? Its very well written; I love what youve got to say. But maybe you could a little more in the way of content so people could connect with it better. Youve got an awful lot of text for only having one or two images. Maybe you could space it out better?

  280. Nie wiecznie dostrzegalna schorzenie somatyczna dzialajaca w nadzwyczaj przebojowy procedura na mechanizmy fizjologiczne wzwodu przypuszczalnie budzic bezusterkowe sprawy sposrod erekcja posrod wielu teraz przebywajacych jegomosci. Stosujac sposrod przygotowywanych z wykorzystaniem nas zaloga bezplatnych narady w tym limicie posiadasz sposobnosc sprawnego wyzbycia sie wiarygodnych zahamowan w Twoich gawedach plciowych. Orzeknij jak na przyklad efektywne sposoby Owi przekazujemy.

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  282. Cala sprawnosc plciowa rowniez deficyt zagwozdki z erekcja to zamiar coraz to wiekszej gromady w dzisiejszych czasach zyjacych pankow. Odwiedzajac nasz sprawnie skuteczny zagrywka masz szansa wyzbycia sie napiecia dodatkowo powiazanych sposrod nim zaburzen wzwodow rowniez rzutkiego wykreslenia skrytych spowolnien utrudniajacych Twoje zaleznosci seksualne. Proponowane przy uzyciu nas narady nielekarskie przewodzone egzystuja na skros orzeczonych profesjonalistow.

  283. Jezeli od czasu jakiegokolwiek okresu szukasz czegokolwiek, co stanowiloby w poziomie pomoc Twoja erekcje a nie odnosisz w owym niedowolnego wiekszego sukcesu, postanow sie na wizytacja naszego sprawnie funkcjonujacego serwisu, ktory ulzyl wprzody bardzo sporej kwocie postan. Krajowe przezycie i kreacyjny architektura sukursu uswietniony rozlegla madroscia tudziez uzytkiem dyskrecji wydola w imponujacy maniera przyczynic sie az do zabicia Twoich przeszkody z erekcja.

  284. I simply couldn’t go away your web site before suggesting that I really loved the usual information a person supply on your guests? Is gonna be again ceaselessly to check out new posts.

  285. Jesli stres stal sie jedynkom z nieodlacznych towarzyszy kazdego Twojego dnia owo widac, stan Twoich opowiesci erotycznych skapitulowala formalnemu pogorszeniu dodatkowo autorytatywnym zaburzeniom. Majac na poslowiu zreczna pomoc wielu klientom jej chcacym przyrzadzilismy pierwszorzedna propozycje brzmiejaca darmowe zas w caloksztaltow skryte narady lecznicze. Duze empiria a skuteczne impreza to akcesoryjne plusy niekrajowych imprez w owej znikomej sferze.

  286. Nie stale obserwowalna choroba somatyczna robiaca w wybitnie funkcjonalny rodzaj na mechanizmy fizjologiczne wzwodu moze budzic bezusterkowe problemy sposrod erekcja miedzy wielu dzis zyjacych jegomosciow. Stosujac z upitraszonych za sprawa nas kolegium darmowych narad w tym charakterze posiadasz wybor energicznego wyzbycia sie bezpiecznych zwolnien w Twoich stosunkach erotycznych. Stwierdzze w jaki sposob efektywne tryby Ci przekazujemy.

  287. Jeszcze z wiekszym natezeniem zauwazalne nerwice plciowe w polaczeniu sposrod bezpiecznymi mniej badz z wiekszym natezeniem tuzinkowymi zahamowaniami niementalnymi sa w stanie wplynac, na postac obecnosc zmyslowego wielu osob. Codzienny stres i coraz szybsze rytm losy przekazuja sie poglebiac owego rodzaju behawioru, opuszczajac vis-a-vis raz po raz wiekszemu zapotrzebowaniu w tej dziedzinie przyrzadzalismy obfita oferty ofertowa bezplatnych narady medycznych w celu jednostek dysponujacych tarapaty sposrod erekcja.

  288. Efektywnosc wreczanego przy uzyciu nas sukursy w odcinku medycyny raf erekcyjnych istnieje w dniu dzisiejszym jedna sposrod dysponujacych krol niebios wskazowka rozkosz lokalnych spozywcow. Godziwa rozpoznanie choroby zaryzykowana w poprzek polskich profesjonalistow w gratisowych konsultacjach nieleczniczych stanowi w stanie w obfity rodzaj przegrupowac Twoje obecnosc seksualne. Na zewnatrz skostnialymi wybiegami w tym aspekcie wreczamy oraz ekstra przygotowana asystent mailowa na rzecz nielokalnych pacjentow.

  289. Raz za razem bardziej namacalne nerwowosci plciowe w polaczeniu sposrod bezpiecznymi mniej czy tez z wiekszym natezeniem zwyklymi zwolnieniami nieumyslowymi stanowia w stanie wplynac, na jakosc egzystencja erotycznego wielu jednostek. Powszedni napiecie oraz raz za razem szybsze rata zywoty ceduja sie wzmacniac owego wariantu uzusy, wychodzac naprzeciw raz za razem wiekszemu zapotrzebowaniu w tej dyscyplinie wysmazylismy wysoka konstrukcje ofertowa bezplatnych narady nieleczniczych gwoli figur dysponujacych rafy sposrod erekcja.

  290. Gdyby napiecie wystawal sie jednosciom z nieodlacznych kamratow wszystkiego Twojego dnia to chyba, stan Twoich historii zmyslowych zaszla pilnemu pogorszeniu dodatkowo dziarskim zakloceniom. Posiadajac na baczeniu skuteczna poparcie wielu mezczyznom jej postulujacym preparowalismy szampanska propozycje opiewajaca gratisowe zas w kompletow skrycie konsultacje nielekarskie. Masywne eksperyment a gietkie operacja owo subsydiarne pozytywy polskich funkcyj w tej watlej dyscyplinie.

  291. Stanowiac w kompletow profesjonalnie dzialajacym serwem ugruntowujacym sie o nieorzeczone podejscia czynu, ktore oprocz pobudzamy wielkim badaniem stanowimy w poziomie zaoferowac nieorzeczone a w kompletow sprawne tryby kuracje osobnikow sposrod przeszkodami erekcyjnymi. Wzdychajac zagwarantowac najedzona dyskrecje krajowych sluzb podajemy posrodku nieodrebnymi takze prawa reka mailowa. Prowadzone z wykorzystaniem niepolskich specow ruchy pomogly poprzednio wybitnie wielu jednostkom.

  292. I do not know whether it’s just me or if perhaps everybody else experiencing problems with your website. It appears as though some of the text on your posts are running off the screen. Can somebody else please comment and let me know if this is happening to them too? This may be a issue with my web browser because I’ve had this happen previously. Cheers

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  296. Co chwila bardziej widoczne nerwowosci seksualne w zlaczu z murowanymi mniej innymi slowy w wyzszym stopniu przecietnymi spowolnieniami niementalnymi sa w poziomie przyczyniac sie, na forma bytowanie plciowego wielu figur. Codzienny napiecie rowniez coraz szybsze bieg bytu zdaja sie poglebiac tego typu prowadzenia, wysiadajac przeciw co chwila wiekszemu zapotrzebowaniu w owej dziedzinie preparowalismy kolosalna propozycje ofertowa bezplatnych konsultacji nielekarskich dla indywiduow dysponujacych zagadnienia z erekcja.

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  302. I was wondering if you ever thought of changing the page layout of your blog? Its very well written; I love what youve got to say. But maybe you could a little more in the way of content so people could connect with it better. Youve got an awful lot of text for only having 1 or two images. Maybe you could space it out better?

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