ARGENTINA HACE HISTORIA DE NUEVO

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Cuando todo parece reducirse a una rama, se descubre que en realidad se trata de un nuevo árbol. El jueves pasado el ministro Axel Kicillof anunció el depósito del pago correspondiente a los títulos Discount del canje en las cuentas del Bank of New York. Pero lo frenó el juez Thomas Griesa: ningún agente de pago del canje puede transferir plata a los bonistas si Argentina no les paga al mismo tiempo a los fondos buitre (es decir, si no cumple el tratamiento igualitario o pari passu ).

El andamiaje legal del canje es un fideicomiso de pago, diseñado de manera de evitar embargos, que es administrado por el Banco de Nueva York (BoNY). Así, una vez que el dinero entró a la cuenta fiduciaria, ya no pertenece a la Argentina sino al fideicomiso y, por lo tanto, no puede ser embargado para pagar una deuda del país. Por eso, el juez no solo prohibió que el BoNY pague, sino que le ordenó que devuelva la plata. Quedó claro así que, si bien se venía hablando de embargo, nunca existió tal cosa sino simplemente la imposibilidad de girar el dinero.

De acuerdo a los términos del canje, los tenedores de deuda podrían iniciar los pasos para reclamar una aceleración del vencimiento del bono (default) si no reciben el dinero en 30 días. Es decir, hay plazo hasta el 30 de julio para resolver el problema. Haciendo futurología, las opciones que tiene el Gobierno son: llegar a un acuerdo definitivo con los fondos buitre, no hacer nada permitiendo un reclamo de default o remover al fiduciario por incumplir con el contrato del fideicomiso y asignarle esa tarea a una entidad fuera del alcance de Griesa, como por ejemplo la Caja de Valores local. Esta última opción sería peligrosa, sin embargo, ya que sería probable que el juez Griesa lo considerara desacato. También se mencionó que el BoNY renuncie como fiduciario, pero esto requiere 90 días de anticipación y no resolvería el pago antes del 30 de julio.

En definitiva, la Argentina transita una situación jurídica sin antecedentes en Estados Unidos ni en otros lugares del mundo.

Para brindar tranquilidad a los inversores, los pagos del Boden 2015 (RO15), Bonar X (AA17), Bonar 2024 (AY24) y los bonos del canje con legislación argentina no corren riesgo de no ser cobrados. Tampoco los bonos con legislación norteamericana que no son del Estado argentino, como pueden ser los de Buenos Aires.

Eduardo Cardenal, Clarín, IECO, 29.6.2014

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