AL COMPÁS DE LAS ENCUESTAS -la nota de la semana-

 

Siderar

 

 

La confusión que crean contradictorias encuestas políticas, llamaron a la reflexión de los inversores de LA Bolsa quienes prefieren apartarse hasta que aclare. Solo se esta atento a oportunidades que ofrezca esta incertidumbre aferrándose a aquello que asegura “quien compra bien, es seguro ganador”.

Al igual que TENARIS también SIDERAR disminuirá la valuación que tiene en USIMINAS (Brasil) que asciende al 3% del total de acciones en circulación.- Así por el 1º Trimestre 2015 disminuirá su patrimonio en 788,6 millones e incrementará la ganancia del período en 38.2millones. Asimismo, registrará una ganancia de 150. 8 millones  en otros resultados integrales. De esa forma el efecto neto en el Patrimonio lo reducirá de 18.943 millones a 18.344 millones. No es preocupante por cuanto reflejara un poco significativo menor P. Neto y una mayor ganancia acumulada.

Ya se advirtió oportunamente y cuando cotizaba a un dígito, que PETROLERA PAMPA podría ser un nuevo “buen jugador” en el mercado. En el 1º trimestre 2015 ya esboza esta categoría. Con  capital de 119.4 millones ganó 42.1 millones (29.9 millones en 2014) y acumula resultados no asignados por 126 millones. Comenzó a cotizar en enero 2014 para desarrollar exploración y explotación de hidrocarburos a efectos de abastecer a las centrales térmicas del Grupo Pampa. Luego firmó acuerdos con Petrobras e YPF e ingresó como inversor y operador de áreas, tales como Senillosa y Caracol Norte). Si bien aun es prematuro afirmar sobre la proyección y sustentabilidad de los resultados actuales, existen indicadores optimistas. La facturación del trimestre ascendió a 128.9 millones contra 62 millones de 2014, correspondiendo el 94% a gas. El resultado operativo fue positivo en 70.4 millones contra 32 millones en 2014, incluyéndose el rubro “compensación inyección gas excedente Res. 1/13 por 65, 3 millones contra 13.8 millones en 2014. Posee activos financieros (títulos públicos y fondos comunes de inversión) por 813 millones contra 473 millones de 2014, no obstante lo cual el resultado neto financiero fue de una perdida de 13.1 millones en 2015 contra una ganancia de 7.4 millones en 2014. Interesante y actualmente con elevado volumen negociado, se justifica su espectacular suba.

3.669 comentarios

  1. Augusto Benitez

    Maestro, hay un concepto en el balance de PETR que me preocupa: “ACUERDO DE COMPENSACIÓN” que se refleja en Gastos Administrativos, Gastos de Comercialización y Otros ingresos / gastos. Dicho concepto para este 1er trimestre totalizo 34.6 millons contra los 70 de resultado operativo. Es decir que casi en un 50% del resultado operativo se lo llevan los directivos. ¿Esto es una práctica comun en las empresas? ¿Lo ve saludable?
    Gracias como siempre por sus comentarios.

  2. daniel

    buen dia Hector ayer se la vio tomadora la plaza de colorin , piensa que fue movim especulativo solamente o detras esta que la suscripcion esta cercana parece y hay inversores que quieren ir tomando posicion en el papel ?
    gracias por su respuesta

  3. fernando

    Hèctor, no te parece que ts ya lleva lateralizando 6 meses, cdo despega en tu opiniòn este papelazo?

  4. JUAN DEL REY ALZAGA

    Estimado Hector, en la data de la semana que habria que sumar y desligandote de toda responsabilidad por que en mis 50 años de mercado se que aca unas manos tapan a las otras, la vieja oligarquia q siempre ensucio tanto al mercado hoy con otros players de alto rango que bajo mi asesoramiento tomaron posiciones en el papel, estan muy pendientes de que sucede, asi que desde lo analizado les puedo aportar a tus lectores, que tres agentes el 35 y el 50 plus 200, hicieron un desastre en COME lanzando y dando en una acción coordinada de varios agentes, (habia momentos donde no habia compra…por que??) AUDITORIA DE MERCADO, Y STOCKWACTH… BIEN GRACIAS… como nos tiene acostumbrados, durante toda la semana ofertaron adrede, acentuandose el viernes, hasta que tuvo que salir el turco a poner orden en la plaza, esos 2 agentes deberian ser SUSPENDIDOS y REMATADA SUS ACCIONES HACE RATOOOOO…. ni hablar de los que estan ocultos y trabajan con ellos… estos conocidos que no puedo precisar el lugar por razones de privacidad, estuvieron cruzando informacion el area de comunicaciones y operaciones especiales informaticas, y hablaron con el Turco, parece que se viene una orden en poco tiempo de procesar a estos agentes y 4 o 5 más que hacen toda esta movida Y NO ES LA PRIMERA VEZ…. PRUEBAS ME DIJERON LE SOBRAN…. estan esperando sus proximos pasos…..a la gente de alto rango no le gusta ver sus tenencias manipuladas… el poder que nadie cree que tienen, aun lo tienen….vos que sos de mi epoca debes saber bien a quien me refiero estimado. y me parece bueno ya a esta altura de nuestra vida, comentar estas cosas…. para DARLE TRANSPARENCIA A LOS MINORITARIOS.

  5. JUAN DEL REY ALZAGA

    Estimado Tavares, le agradezco mucho y HACE TIEMPO QUE NO ESCUCHABA LOS QUE UD. MENCIONA “En esta página hay libertad de expresión sin censura previa.” LO FELICITO, en algunos foros bursatiles de alto rating su dueño VIVE CENSURANDO acorde a una porcion de la torta… en detrimento de los minoritarios, despues se quejan que la bolsa Argentina no crece… NO QUIEREN QUE CREZCA…. desde los Gtes de la BCBA, CNV, y Auditoria de Mercado, en todos lados hay celulares cruzados y comunicaciones de inteligencia que detectaron lo que paso en COME, lo mismo que paso en otras PLAZAS, cambian de caballo hasta el dia que tocan uno más grande q ellos y su impunidad los lleva a cometer errores, eso es lo bueno q se observa.

  6. CHORI TRADER

    Hola a todos, como viene la mano tooodos damos por hecho que el TSUNAMI DEVALUATORIO no arribara a estas costas en los próximos meses.
    Conclusión: 1.- A continuar comprando DOLAR AHORRO
    Conclusión: 2.- Segunda opción DOLARIZAR LOS PESOS vía BODEN 2015, BONAR X y BONAR 2024.
    Conclusión: 3.- De acá a diciembre se descarta una fuerte corrección del tipo de cambio, pese a que el tipo de cambio este muy atrasado. Si no desea seguir sufriendo la volatilidad de su capital invertido, duerma tranquilo CON UN PLAZO FIJO ya que las tasas de interés superan a la inflación, por lo menos hasta agosto. FECHAS PASO.
    Conclusión:4.- Si es paciente, pude haber oportunidades en lo inmediato apueste a COME cuando vuelva a 2.10 y GGLA a los 20.15 -APROX- que cada vez falta menos.

    CHORI TRADER

  7. Goenitz

    COME a $2,10? jajaja
    Me suena haber leído ese target en otro lado, totalmente sin fundamentos.
    Es una expresión de deseo, porque se les escapó el papel…con suerte van a conseguirla a $3,10 el martes.
    Saludos, agitadores de tercera!

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