AHORA LE TOCA AL PANEL GENERAL

 

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El panorama bursátil es positivo y la Bolsa se anticipa ante la desvalorización de los activos argentinos. Si bien las empresas líderes concentran inicialmente la atención de los inversores, la experiencia indica que la suba seguirá en las acciones del panel general que quedaron rezagadas y que ofrezcan buenas perspectivas. Esta situación es ostensible entre los bancos, ya que tanto Banco Santander Río como Patagonia (el mejor balance en el rubro) no reflejan su buen andar en la misma relación que sus colegas.

No debe sorprender el salto de Petrolera Pampa, el benjamín de la Bolsa. La controlada por Pampa Energía comienza a generar utilidades. En el 1º Trimestre ganó 29,9 millones con capital de 119,4 millones y Resultados no Asignados por 44,3 millones. Socia de Petrobras e YPF en importantes pozos, tiene como objetivo producir el 30% del gas que necesita el país. Recibe 7,50 dólares por millón de BTU por tratarse de “producción plus”, al ser una empresa nueva.

Sorprendió gratamente el 3º Trimestre de Garovaglio, que después de varios años de sinsabores, pudo ordenar su gestión y retomar un sendero positivo. En 9 meses ganó 20,7 millones con capital de 20,5 millones y 30.7 millones de Reservas Facultativas. No tiene actividad directa, participando del 70% de Rheem (Termotanques, calefones, calefactores) y el 98% de FINPAK (Heladeras y  freezer, marca Philco). La facturación consolidada de 9 meses ascendió a 417,2 millones (306,6 millones en 2013). La utilidad neta del último Trimestre fue de 16,7 millones contra 4 millones del 1º Semestre, reforzando la idea de su evolución. Estacionalmente, lo mejor está por venir y su teórico “Price earning” no supera los 3 años.

Buena recuperación de Mirgor, luego de una fuerte caída. Seduce el convenio con la surcoreana Samsung para producir teléfonos y tablets. Se espera una inversión de la empresa asiática por alrededor de 20 millones de dólares.

Héctor Tavares, IECO, Clarín, 1.6.2014.

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