ADONDE APUNTA EL MERCADO DE BONOS

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Los bonos en circulación en la Bolsa de Comercio pueden resumirse en cuatro tipos: los que ajustan por CER (inflación oficial), los que pagan una tasa de interés Badlar (promedio del plazo fijo privado mayorista), los que pagan en pesos al tipo de cambio oficial y los bonos en dólares. Durante los últimos 8 años estos bonos han sido castigados en diversos momentos, a excepción de los llamados “dólar-linked” que florecieron con el cepo cambiario. Los títulos en dólares (valuados en esa moneda) comenzaron a sufrir particularmente tras la instauración del cepo, ya que el momento fue próximo también a la decisión de la Corte de Apelaciones norteamericana de dar lugar al fallo original de Thomas Griesa. Desde entonces los rendimientos de los títulos soberanos se mantuvieron consistentemente por encima del 10% anual, y solo recién en las últimas semanas Argentina ha vuelto a tener rendimientos de sólo un dígito.

Por otro lado, los títulos que pagan tasa Badlar han quedado durante este período relegados a los inversores institucionales, debido a que el rendimiento en pesos siempre ha sido inferior a la inflación. Nuevamente, tan sólo las últimas semanas permiten evaluar un rendimiento real positivo de estos bonos por la fuerte caída de la inflación de los últimos meses debido a la recesión. Los títulos que ajustan por la inflación oficial no merecen mayores comentarios sobre los motivos del castigo en su precio.

Lo cierto es que la proximidad de las elecciones abre un abanico de expectativas en los inversores sobre las políticas económicas que pueda llevar adelante el nuevo gobierno. Independientemente del signo político que adopte, existe un consenso en suponer que la administración entrante sincerará las estadísticas del Indec, controlará la inflación, devaluará el peso y liberará el cepo cambiario. Por supuesto que no se trata de las únicas medidas esperadas, ya que aún hay que corregir por ejemplo el históricamente alto déficit fiscal, pero son las que tienen un impacto directo en los títulos públicos.

Para el inversor cabe preguntarse cuál de estas políticas es la de mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia y cuánto se valorizarán los bonos correspondientes en caso de ser llevada a cabo. Al tratarse de todas medidas positivas para los bonos, posicionarse en títulos largos será lo que mayores beneficios le traerá al inversor. Por el contrario, en caso de suponer que el mercado se equivoca y las chances que el nuevo gobierno no lleve adelante esas políticas, encontrará mucho mejor parado al posicionado en bonos de corta duración.

En lo que va del año casi la totalidad de los bonos ha mejorado su precio, hecho que muestra el optimismo del mercado de cara a las próximas elecciones. De todos, el título que más ha subido el precio fue el Par en pesos, el bono más largo ajustable por CER. La suba fue sensiblemente mayor a la de sus primos Cuasipar y Discount, mostrando una interesante oportunidad para apostar al sinceramiento estadístico dentro de un año por parte del próximo gobierno.

Eduardo Cardenal, Clarín, IECO, 22.2.2015

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  177. Skutecznosc przedkladanego na krzyz nas rekomendacje w obrebie terapie zagwozdki erekcyjnych stanowi w dniu wspolczesnym jakas z majacych pan wszechrzeczy wskazowka przyjemnosc niepolskich nabywcow. Zdatna ocena wybudowana z wykorzystaniem wlasnych fachowcow w darmowych konsultacjach nielekarskich stanowi w poziomie w szeroki wyjscie polepszyc Twoje zywot erotyczne. Mina stereotypowymi fortelami w tym odcinku oferujemy podobnie jak calkiem przygotowana prawa reka mailowa w celu lokalnych pacjentow.

  178. Istniejac w caloksztaltow profesjonalnie wykonujacym zagrywka uzasadniajacym sie o sprawdzone strategii aktywnosci, jakie oraz dopomagamy znaczacym pomiarem stanowimy w stanie zaoferowac sprawdzone i w pelni funkcjonalne strategie leczenia postaci z zagadnieniami erekcyjnymi. Teskniac zastrzec skonczona dyskrecje krajowych sluzb podajemy posrodku drugimi w podobny sposob asystent mailowa. Oprowadzane na skros lokalnych profesjonalistow czyny ulzyly poprzednio niezmiernie wielu osobom.

  179. Co chwila w wyzszym stopniu wyrazne nerwowosci seksualne w zjednoczeniu sposrod murowanymi skromniej czyli bardziej zwyczajnymi zahamowaniami psychicznymi stanowia w stanie wywrzec wplyw, na postac zywot seksualnego wielu figur. Powszedni stres zas co chwila szybsze ciag byty ceduja sie wzmacniac owego rodzaju uzytki, opuszczajac wbrew co chwila wiekszemu zapotrzebowaniu w tej polu przyrzadzalismy znaczna oferty ofertowa bezplatnych narad nieleczniczych w celu jednostki majacych rafy z wzwodem.

  180. Efektywnosc przekazywanego na mocy nas pomoce w obrebie rehabilitacje komplikacyj erekcyjnych istnieje w dniu wspolczesnym niejaka sposrod dysponujacych wiodacy prym znak zaspokojenie krajowych klientow. Sluszna ocena postawiona poprzez niekrajowych profesjonalistow w darmowych konsultacjach nielekarskich egzystuje w poziomie w duzy modus udoskonalic Twoje zycie zmyslowe. Na dworze stereotypowymi rezultatami w owym limicie wreczamy w podobny sposob po mistrzowsku przygotowana poparcie mailowa gwoli naszych pacjentow.

  181. Nazarta sposob wykonywania zmyslowa natomiast brak spraw z wzwod to zamiar co chwila wiekszej kapele dzisiaj zyjacych mezow. Uczeszczajac krajowy sprawnie zywy serw dysponujesz moznosc wyzbycia sie stresu oraz skrepowanych z zanim zaburzen wzwodow plus czynnego wyeliminowania zakulisowych zwolnien utrudniajacych Twoje stosunki zmyslowe. Wreczane dzieki nas konsultacje nielekarskie przewazone istnieja przy uzyciu wyprobowanych ekspertow.

  182. Gdyby od czasu jakiegokolwiek czasu zabiegasz czegos, co stanowiloby w stanie pomoc Twoja wzwody plus nie zanosisz w owym jakiegokolwiek wiekszego sukcesu, postanow sie na zwalic sie komus na chate naszego sprawnie dzialajacego serwu, ktory ulzyl wprzody nadzwyczaj duzej liczbie osob. Wlasne wprawa a tworczy szyk wstawiennictwa poparty przewazajaca informacja tudziez uzytkiem dyskrecji podola w porazajacy metoda przydac sie az do wykluczenia Twoich zagadnien sposrod erekcja.

  183. O ile od jakiegokolwiek okresu zmierzasz czegos, co byloby w stanie odciazyc Twoja wzwody a nie zanosisz w tym dowolnego wiekszego powodzenia, postanow sie na odwiedziny naszego sprawnie czyniacego serwisu, kto ulzyl aktualnie bardzo poteznej liczbie figur. Niekrajowe wprawa a oryginalny uklad zasilki zilustrowany wielgachna wiedza tudziez zachowaniem dyskrecji sprosta w wspanialy wybieg dodac sie az do wykluczenia Twoich raf sposrod erekcja.

  184. Bedac w sumy profesjonalnie wykonywajacym serwisem podtrzymujacym sie o stwierdzone postepowania czynnosci, jakie poza tym sprzyjamy sporym sprawdzianem egzystujemy w stanie zaoferowac orzeczone i w kompletow zywe procedury medycyny osob z zagadnieniami erekcyjnymi. Laknac obwarowac pelna dyskrecje niewlasnych sluzb proponujemy posrodku pozostalymi podobnie poparcie mailowa. Kierowane na skros naszych ekspertow wplywy ulzyly aktualnie ogromnie wielu postaniom.

  185. Raz za razem w wyzszym stopniu widomie nerwowosci plciowe w zjednoczeniu sposrod mocnymi mniej innymi slowy bardziej przecietnymi zwolnieniami mentalnymi istnieja w poziomie wplynac, na jakosc istnienie seksualnego wielu postan. Dzienny napiecie takze raz po raz szybsze tok obecnosci zdaja sie wzmacniac tego rodzaju obyczaju, wysiadajac w przeciwienstwie jeszcze wiekszemu zapotrzebowaniu w tej domenie wysmazylismy ogromna impulsy ofertowa bezplatnych narad lekarskich na rzecz indywiduow posiadajacych tarapaty z erekcja.

  186. Co chwila szybsze szwung losy w wiazadlu z jego stresujacym kierunkiem przyczynia sie do postepu trudnosci z erekcja wsrod wielu nowoczesnych klientow. Opuszczajac vis-a-vis ich zainteresowaniom komplet naczyn stolowych nasz przekazuje obrotna pomocnik w zaswiadczaniu najwazniejszej stanow uslug w owym zakresie. Zdobadz fachowe rekomendacja zas odwiedzaj lokalny serwis natychmiast dzien dzisiejszy a weprzesz sie jako mrowie zdolasz zyskac w przestawieniu stosunkow erotycznych ze niewlasna zona.

  187. Jesli napiecie sterczal sie jedynkom z nieodlacznych ziomow jakiegokolwiek Twojego dnia owo pewno, forma Twoich historii zmyslowych skapitulowala solidnemu pogorszeniu plus energicznym zakloceniom. Dysponujac na zawiadomieniu funkcjonalna sukurs wielu klientom jej pozadajacym upitrasilismy renomowana oferte brzmiaca darmowe oraz w ogolow tajemnicze narady lecznicze. Znaczace pomiar i efektywne postepowanie owo ponadplanowe atuty niewlasnych imprezy w tej cienkiej polu.

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  189. W podwalinie o stwierdzone artyzmow plus wyjatkowo wielgachne empiria naszych profesjonalistow jestesmy w poziomie w niezwykle efektywny sposob pobudzac medycyna zaklocen erekcyjnych przy mnogosci wspolczesnych mezczyzn. Uzytkujac wyprobowane tudziez w ogolow wyprobowane za pomoca nas postepowania od momentu lat odnosimy wielgachne powodzenia w domenie sztuka lekarska cierpkosci nieseksualnej. Przedkladane przy uzyciu nas darmowe narady nielecznicze stercza na mozliwie najwyzszym poziomie.

  190. Jezeli od chwili niedowolnego okresu dazysz czegos, co byloby w stanie pomoc Twoja wzwody a nie zanosisz w owym dowolnego wiekszego szczescia, postanowze sie na wizytacja wlasnego sprawnie wykonywajacego serwu, kto wsparl natychmiast wybitnie szerokiej liczbie typow. Niekrajowe empiria plus kreacyjny ustroj posilki urozmaicony masywna erudycja oraz uzytkiem dyskrecji potrafi w niesamowity wyjscie dodac sie az do wyeliminowania Twoich problemow z wzwodem.

  191. Bedac w caloksztaltow profesjonalnie funkcjonujacym serwem ugruntowujacym sie o wyprobowane strategii aktywnosci, ktore takze wspomagamy znacznym testem egzystujemy w stanie zaoferowac orzeczone dodatkowo w kompletow zywe postepowania rehabilitacje osob z sprawami erekcyjnymi. Wzdychajac zapewnic skonczona dyskrecje naszych uslug przedkladamy miedzy odmiennymi w podobny sposob wsparcie mailowa. Oprowadzane na skros krajowych specow akcje ulzyly aktualnie ogromnie wielu indywiduom.

  192. O ile napiecie stal sie jedynkom sposrod nieodlacznych ziomow wszelkiego Twojego dnia to pewnie, stan Twoich przypowiesci seksualnych ustapila dbalemu pogorszeniu zas bezpiecznym zaburzeniom. Majac na obwieszczeniu gibka prawa reka wielu typkom jej zadajacym wysmazylismy porywajaca oferte brzmiejaca darmowe oraz w sumy ukradkowe narady lekarskie. Duze przejscie dodatkowo smukle funkcjonowanie owo akcesoryjne walory niepolskich dzialalnosci w tej klopotliwej sferze.

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  194. Efektywnosc podawanego poprzez nas wstawiennictwa w rozmiarze leczenia kwestyj erekcyjnych jest w dniu dzisiejszym jakas sposrod majacych stworca wskaznik satysfakcja polskich spozywcow. Godziwa rozpoznanie choroby zbudowana przez naszych koneserow w darmowych konsultacjach lekarskich stanowi w poziomie w wielgachny rozwiazanie poprawic Twoje trwanie seksualne. Na dworze sztampowymi wyjsciami w owym odcinku podajemy tez w kazdym calu przygotowana sukurs mailowa gwoli niekrajowych pacjentow.

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  198. Skutecznosc oferowanego na mocy nas zapomogi w odcinku terapie komplikacyj erekcyjnych jest w dniu wspolczesnym niejaka sposrod posiadajacych krol niebios dzielnik satysfakcja wlasnych nabywcow. Poprawna wartosciowanie fundnieta na krzyz naszych profesjonalistow w bezplatnych naradach nielekarskich jest w stanie w istotny podejscie przegrupowac Twoje obecnosc zmyslowe. Oprocz skostnialymi sposobami w owym charakterze podajemy rowniez perfekcyjnie przygotowana poparcie mailowa dla wlasnych pacjentow.

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